Notes on Decision Making and Rational Choice Richard N. Lebow's "Between Peace and War"

Jervis?s argument as to why decisivenesss at define are not initially rational- Individual Human Characteristics (pp.105-106)- cognitive ConsistencyPeople tend to think that other people hold the equivalent determine and beliefs and thus follow the same thinking convention as them. -Irrational ConsistencyThe pursuit of consistency becomes irrational if it closes the policy-makers mind from relations better alternatives. Aspects are:i. Powerful stopping point, belief preservation- confronted with wise discipline that is hard to comprehend, people may ignore the new education in order to preserve their previous beliefs on which to theme their decisiveness. ii. Desensitisatin to ? manage offs?- If a person favours one decision preceding(prenominal) all others, they may not take into consideration the ? profession offs? that would occur through making that decision. iii. Post-decision rationalisation- After a decision, in that respect is the tendency to justify the deci sion made to others to declare oneself. Janis and Mann?s theory on decision making (pp.109)1.Decision makers are homosexual beings- therefore they need positive reinforcement and natural selection to see what they inadequacy to see, which can make the weighing up of factors in a decision biased. (NB equal to Jervis: Powerful last/ tactile sensation Preservation and Desensitisation to ?trade offs?)2.If the perceived risks of a decision are seen as serious, they?ll find another(prenominal) course of action- Could assume to Bolstering ? picking the safest option and then transactions to exaggerate the benefits. 3.

If no s uitable alternative can be found = tenseness! which leads to-over evaluation-over sensitivity (Hypervigilance)-ignorance of new information (NB Similar to Jervis: Powerful Determination/ Belief Preservation)?Both note the overleap of empirical info supporting the topic of rational picking decision making, imputable to the overwhelming and uncontrollable amount of variables in any seek for empirical data. ProcessRational ChoiceFailure of Rational ChoiceCognitive and AffectiveDefining GoalsGoals are outlined according to values and preferencesWhims and personality of the individual affecting which... If you want to get a full essay, order it on our website: OrderCustomPaper.com

If you want to get a full essay, visit our page: write my paper